Kwanan nan, Robin Griffin, mataimakin shugaban karafa da hakar ma'adinai a Wood Mackenzie, ya ce, "Mun yi hasashen raguwar tagulla mai yawa har zuwa 2030."Ya danganta hakan da tashe-tashen hankula da ke faruwa a kasar Peru da kuma karuwar bukatar tagulla daga bangaren mika wutar lantarki.
Ya kara da cewa: “A duk lokacin da aka samu tashe-tashen hankula na siyasa, akwai tasiri iri-iri.Kuma daya daga cikin mafi bayyananni shi ne cewa ma'adinai na iya rufewa."
Kasar Peru dai ta fuskanci zanga-zanga tun bayan hambarar da tsohon shugaban kasar Castillo a wata shari'ar tsige shi a watan Disambar da ya gabata, wanda ya shafi hakar tagulla a kasar.Ƙasar Kudancin Amirka ce ke da kashi 10 cikin ɗari na samar da tagulla a duniya.
Bugu da kari, Chile - babbar mai samar da tagulla a duniya, wanda ke da kashi 27% na wadatar da duniya - ta ga yawan samar da tagulla ya fadi da kashi 7% a shekara a watan Nuwamba.Goldman Sachs ya rubuta a cikin wani rahoto na daban a ranar 16 ga Janairu: "Gaba ɗaya, mun yi imani da yuwuwar samar da tagulla na Chile zai ragu tsakanin 2023 da 2025."
Tina Teng, mai sharhi kan kasuwa a Kasuwan CMC, ta ce, "Tattalin arzikin Asiya na sake farawa zai yi tasiri sosai kan farashin tagulla yayin da yake inganta yanayin buƙatu kuma zai ƙara haɓaka farashin tagulla saboda ƙarancin wadatar kayayyaki dangane da yanayin canjin makamashi mai tsafta wanda ke yin tasiri mai kyau. hakar ma’adinai da wahala.”
Teng ya kara da cewa: “Rashin jan karfe zai dawwama har sai koma bayan tattalin arziki a duniya sakamakon iskar iska a halin yanzu, mai yiwuwa a cikin 2024 ko 2025. Har zuwa lokacin, farashin tagulla na iya ninka sau biyu.
Koyaya, masanin tattalin arziki na Wolfe Research Timna Tanners ta ce tana tsammanin ayyukan samar da tagulla kuma amfani ba zai ga “babban buguwa ba” yayin da tattalin arzikin Asiya ke farfadowa.Ta yi imanin cewa babban abin da ya faru na wutar lantarki na iya zama babban abin tuƙi na buƙatar jan ƙarfe.
Lokacin aikawa: Satumba-07-2023